Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.482025 2.639271 2.805894 2.996375 3.209072 3.440406 3.712590
2025-12-28 2.232360 2.448044 2.688809 2.980312 3.327624 3.733400 4.251427
2026-01-04 2.038555 2.276339 2.550168 2.893702 3.320458 3.843661 4.551395
2026-01-11 1.929601 2.187231 2.491762 2.885667 3.393409 4.043945 4.973854
2026-01-18 1.869498 2.148371 2.486066 2.935669 3.536349 4.340690 5.558623
2026-01-25 1.953533 2.289081 2.709749 3.294217 4.118918 5.303378 7.278894
2026-02-01 1.829577 2.158056 2.574789 3.162503 4.008240 5.254999 7.414421
2026-02-08 1.712318 2.029426 2.435227 3.013828 3.858684 5.128889 7.394027
2026-02-15 1.648308 1.966713 2.379170 2.976504 3.867240 5.245599 7.813840
2026-02-22 1.579297 1.894037 2.305572 2.908805 3.823290 5.271360 8.068491
2026-03-01 1.507174 1.814259 2.218520 2.816358 3.733793 5.211876 8.147105
2026-03-08 1.432002 1.727809 2.118898 2.700519 3.600070 5.065629 8.029388
2026-03-15 1.388772 1.687542 2.087730 2.693211 3.652576 5.271496 8.743410
2026-03-22 1.344558 1.644697 2.051695 2.677687 3.693117 5.467646 9.512445
2026-03-29 1.286663 1.580317 1.981561 2.605063 3.631584 5.466424 9.822559
2026-04-05 1.253176 1.548170 1.955651 2.598293 3.679546 5.678330 10.732073
2026-04-12 1.236397 1.538380 1.961150 2.640339 3.815019 6.083858 12.338531
2026-04-19 1.289157 1.629055 2.119095 2.939606 4.451979 7.701777 19.033255
2026-04-26 1.233369 1.560831 2.034258 2.830118 4.306303 7.513299 18.995596
2026-05-03 1.176851 1.490006 1.943155 2.705907 4.123565 7.214416 18.377808
2026-05-10 1.146303 1.456245 1.907662 2.674619 4.121392 7.359675 19.852625
2026-05-17 1.111271 1.414834 1.858822 2.617760 4.063440 7.356533 20.655925
2026-05-24 1.072937 1.367558 1.799398 2.539883 3.957541 7.216477 20.703865